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Eliciting interval beliefs: An experimental study
In this paper we study the interval scoring rule as a mechanism to elicit subjective beliefs under varying degrees of uncertainty. In our experiment, subjects forecast the termination time of a time series to be generated from a given but unknown stochastic process. Subjects gradually learn more abo...
| Autores principales: | , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
| Publicado: |
Public Library of Science
2017
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| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5381926/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28380020 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0175163 |