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Future life expectancy in 35 industrialised countries: projections with a Bayesian model ensemble

BACKGROUND: Projections of future mortality and life expectancy are needed to plan for health and social services and pensions. Our aim was to forecast national age-specific mortality and life expectancy using an approach that takes into account the uncertainty related to the choice of forecasting m...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Kontis, Vasilis, Bennett, James E, Mathers, Colin D, Li, Guangquan, Foreman, Kyle, Ezzati, Majid
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier 2017
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5387671/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28236464
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(16)32381-9