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Future life expectancy in 35 industrialised countries: projections with a Bayesian model ensemble
BACKGROUND: Projections of future mortality and life expectancy are needed to plan for health and social services and pensions. Our aim was to forecast national age-specific mortality and life expectancy using an approach that takes into account the uncertainty related to the choice of forecasting m...
Autores principales: | Kontis, Vasilis, Bennett, James E, Mathers, Colin D, Li, Guangquan, Foreman, Kyle, Ezzati, Majid |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Elsevier
2017
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5387671/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28236464 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(16)32381-9 |
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