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A new method for determining the optimal lagged ensemble
We propose a general methodology for determining the lagged ensemble that minimizes the mean square forecast error. The MSE of a lagged ensemble is shown to depend only on a quantity called the cross‐lead error covariance matrix, which can be estimated from a short hindcast data set and parameterize...
| Autores principales: | , , , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
| Publicado: |
John Wiley and Sons Inc.
2017
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5434667/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28580050 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2016MS000838 |