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Adaptive Anchoring Model: How Static and Dynamic Presentations of Time Series Influence Judgments and Predictions
When attempting to predict future events, people commonly rely on historical data. One psychological characteristic of judgmental forecasting of time series, established by research, is that when people make forecasts from series, they tend to underestimate future values for upward trends and overes...
Autores principales: | , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
John Wiley and Sons Inc.
2017
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5811814/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28382639 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/cogs.12476 |