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Monthly ENSO Forecast Skill and Lagged Ensemble Size
The mean square error (MSE) of a lagged ensemble of monthly forecasts of the Niño 3.4 index from the Climate Forecast System (CFSv2) is examined with respect to ensemble size and configuration. Although the real‐time forecast is initialized 4 times per day, it is possible to infer the MSE for arbitr...
| Autores principales: | , , , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
| Publicado: |
John Wiley and Sons Inc.
2018
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5993225/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29937973 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2017MS001204 |