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Forecasting the 2001 Foot-and-Mouth Disease Epidemic in the UK

Near real-time epidemic forecasting approaches are needed to respond to the increasing number of infectious disease outbreaks. In this paper, we retrospectively assess the performance of simple phenomenological models that incorporate early sub-exponential growth dynamics to generate short-term fore...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Shanafelt, David W., Jones, Glyn, Lima, Mauricio, Perrings, Charles, Chowell, Gerardo
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer US 2017
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6132414/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29238900
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10393-017-1293-2