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Forecasting the 2001 Foot-and-Mouth Disease Epidemic in the UK
Near real-time epidemic forecasting approaches are needed to respond to the increasing number of infectious disease outbreaks. In this paper, we retrospectively assess the performance of simple phenomenological models that incorporate early sub-exponential growth dynamics to generate short-term fore...
Autores principales: | , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Springer US
2017
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6132414/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29238900 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10393-017-1293-2 |