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Forecast accuracy hardly improves with method complexity when completing cohort fertility

Forecasts of completed fertility predict how many children will be born on average by women over their entire reproductive lifetime. These forecasts are important in informing public policy and influencing additional research in the social sciences. However, nothing is known about how to choose a fo...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Bohk-Ewald, Christina, Li, Peng, Myrskylä, Mikko
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: National Academy of Sciences 2018
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6140540/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30150406
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1722364115