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Forecast accuracy hardly improves with method complexity when completing cohort fertility
Forecasts of completed fertility predict how many children will be born on average by women over their entire reproductive lifetime. These forecasts are important in informing public policy and influencing additional research in the social sciences. However, nothing is known about how to choose a fo...
Autores principales: | Bohk-Ewald, Christina, Li, Peng, Myrskylä, Mikko |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
National Academy of Sciences
2018
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6140540/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30150406 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1722364115 |
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