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Forecasting the new case detection rate of leprosy in four states of Brazil: A comparison of modelling approaches

BACKGROUND: Brazil has the second highest annual number of new leprosy cases. The aim of this study is to formally compare predictions of future new case detection rate (NCDR) trends and the annual probability of NCDR falling below 10/100,000 of four different modelling approaches in four states of...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Blok, David J., Crump, Ronald E., Sundaresh, Ram, Ndeffo-Mbah, Martial, Galvani, Alison P., Porco, Travis C., de Vlas, Sake J., Medley, Graham F., Richardus, Jan Hendrik
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: 2017
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6198811/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28279460
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2017.01.005