Cargando…

Forecasting the new case detection rate of leprosy in four states of Brazil: A comparison of modelling approaches

BACKGROUND: Brazil has the second highest annual number of new leprosy cases. The aim of this study is to formally compare predictions of future new case detection rate (NCDR) trends and the annual probability of NCDR falling below 10/100,000 of four different modelling approaches in four states of...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales:	Blok, David J., Crump, Ronald E., Sundaresh, Ram, Ndeffo-Mbah, Martial, Galvani, Alison P., Porco, Travis C., de Vlas, Sake J., Medley, Graham F., Richardus, Jan Hendrik
Formato:	Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:	English
Publicado:	2017
Materias:	Article
Acceso en línea:	https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6198811/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28279460 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2017.01.005

Ejemplares similares

Policy Lessons From Quantitative Modeling of Leprosy
por: Medley, Graham F, et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Global elimination of leprosy by 2020: are we
por: Blok, David J., et al.
Publicado: (2015)

Leprosy New Case Detection Trends and the Future Effect of Preventive Interventions in Pará State, Brazil: A Modelling Study
por: de Matos, Haroldo José, et al.
Publicado: (2016)

Spatial heterogeneity in projected leprosy trends in India
por: Brook, Cara E., et al.
Publicado: (2015)

Minimum requirements and optimal testing strategies of a diagnostic test for leprosy as a tool towards zero transmission: A modeling study
por: Blok, David J., et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Number of people requiring post-exposure prophylaxis to end leprosy: A modeling study
por: Taal, Anneke T., et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Guiding policy towards zero leprosy: Challenges for modelling & economic evaluation
por: Blok, David J., et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Establishing a standard method for analysing case detection delay in leprosy using a Bayesian modelling approach
por: Hambridge, Thomas, et al.
Publicado: (2023)

Geospatial epidemiology of leprosy in northwest Bangladesh: a 20-year retrospective observational study
por: Bulstra, Caroline A., et al.
Publicado: (2021)

The Long Term Effect of Current and New Interventions on the New Case Detection of Leprosy: A Modeling Study
por: Fischer, Egil A. J., et al.
Publicado: (2011)

Different Mechanisms for Heterogeneity in Leprosy Susceptibility Can Explain Disease Clustering within Households
por: Fischer, Egil, et al.
Publicado: (2010)

Effects of Response to 2014–2015 Ebola Outbreak on Deaths from Malaria, HIV/AIDS, and Tuberculosis, West Africa
por: Parpia, Alyssa S., et al.
Publicado: (2016)

Quantitative assessment of the impact of partially protective anti-schistosomiasis vaccines
por: Alsallaq, Ramzi A., et al.
Publicado: (2017)

Impact of Schistosoma mansoni on Malaria Transmission in Sub-Saharan Africa
por: Ndeffo Mbah, Martial L., et al.
Publicado: (2014)

Forecasting influenza-like illness trends in Cameroon using Google Search Data
por: Nsoesie, Elaine O., et al.
Publicado: (2021)

The impact of vector migration on the effectiveness of strategies to control gambiense human African trypanosomiasis
por: Ndeffo-Mbah, Martial L., et al.
Publicado: (2019)

Back-calculating the incidence of infection of leprosy in a Bayesian framework
por: Crump, Ronald E., et al.
Publicado: (2015)

Determinants of Human African Trypanosomiasis Elimination via Paratransgenesis
por: Gilbert, Jennifer A., et al.
Publicado: (2016)

Short-term leprosy forecasting from an expert opinion survey
por: Deiner, Michael S., et al.
Publicado: (2017)

Under-reporting and case fatality estimates for emerging epidemics
por: Atkins, Katherine E, et al.
Publicado: (2015)

Leprosy post-exposure prophylaxis in the Indian health system: A cost-effectiveness analysis
por: Tiwari, Anuj, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Correction: Short-term leprosy forecasting from an expert opinion survey
por: Deiner, Michael S., et al.
Publicado: (2017)

The severe acute respiratory syndrome epidemic in mainland China dissected
por: Cao, Wu-Chun, et al.
Publicado: (2011)

Evaluating long-term effectiveness of sleeping sickness control measures in Guinea
por: Pandey, Abhishek, et al.
Publicado: (2015)

The Impact of Imitation on Vaccination Behavior in Social Contact Networks
por: Ndeffo Mbah, Martial L., et al.
Publicado: (2012)

Using Community-Level Prevalence of Loa loa Infection to Predict the Proportion of Highly-Infected Individuals: Statistical Modelling to Support Lymphatic Filariasis and Onchocerciasis Elimination Programs
por: Schlüter, Daniela K, et al.
Publicado: (2016)

The economic value of identifying and treating Chagas disease patients earlier and the impact on Trypanosoma cruzi transmission
por: Bartsch, Sarah M., et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Towards zero leprosy: Dream or vision?
por: Richardus, Jan Hendrik
Publicado: (2021)

Evaluating the effectiveness of localized control strategies to curtail chikungunya
por: Ndeffo-Mbah, Martial L., et al.
Publicado: (2016)

Resource Allocation for Epidemic Control in Metapopulations
por: Ndeffo Mbah, Martial L., et al.
Publicado: (2011)

Balancing Detection and Eradication for Control of Epidemics: Sudden Oak Death in Mixed-Species Stands
por: Ndeffo Mbah, Martial L., et al.
Publicado: (2010)

Reacting to outbreaks at neighboring localities
por: Eksin, Ceyhun, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Using test positivity and reported case rates to estimate state-level COVID-19 prevalence and seroprevalence in the United States
por: Chiu, Weihsueh A., et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Calibrating COVID-19 community transmission risk levels to reflect infection prevalence
por: Chiu, Weihsueh A., et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Interpreting data in policy & control: The case of leprosy
por: Medley, Graham F., et al.
Publicado: (2017)

Leprosy remains an important public health challenge in India
por: Richardus, Jan Hendrik
Publicado: (2013)

Spatial distribution of leprosy in India: an ecological study
por: Grantz, Kyra H., et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Trends in High-Risk Sexual Behaviors among General Population Groups in China: A Systematic Review
por: Cai, Rui, et al.
Publicado: (2013)

Optimizing antiviral treatment for seasonal influenza in the USA: a mathematical modeling analysis
por: Yechezkel, Matan, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Effectiveness of Systemic Insecticide Dog Treatment for the Control of Chagas Disease in the Tropics
por: Fiatsonu, Edem, et al.
Publicado: (2023)

Cannot write session to /tmp/vufind_sessions/sess_vdg755skf72l1pe19pemme1ldb