Accuracy gains from conservative forecasting: Tests using variations of 19 econometric models to predict 154 elections in 10 countries

PROBLEM: Do conservative econometric models that comply with the Golden Rule of Forecasting provide more accurate forecasts? METHODS: To test the effects of forecast accuracy, we applied three evidence-based guidelines to 19 published regression models used for forecasting 154 elections in Australia...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Graefe, Andreas, Green, Kesten C., Armstrong, J. Scott
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2019
Materias:
Research Article
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6328130/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30629630
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0209850

Internet

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6328130/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30629630
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0209850

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