Seasonality and trend prediction of scarlet fever incidence in mainland China from 2004 to 2018 using a hybrid SARIMA-NARX model

BACKGROUND: Scarlet fever is recognized as being a major public health issue owing to its increase in notifications in mainland China, and an advanced response based on forecasting techniques is being adopted to tackle this. Here, we construct a new hybrid method incorporating seasonal autoregressiv...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Wang, Yongbin, Xu, Chunjie, Wang, Zhende, Yuan, Juxiang
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: PeerJ Inc. 2019
Materias:
Mathematical Biology
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6339779/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30671295
http://dx.doi.org/10.7717/peerj.6165

Internet

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6339779/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30671295
http://dx.doi.org/10.7717/peerj.6165

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