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Probability estimation of a Carrington-like geomagnetic storm

Intense geomagnetic storms can cause severe damage to electrical systems and communications. This work proposes a counting process with Weibull inter-occurrence times in order to estimate the probability of extreme geomagnetic events. It is found that the scale parameter of the inter-occurrence time...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Moriña, David, Serra, Isabel, Puig, Pedro, Corral, Álvaro
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6382914/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30787360
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-38918-8