Assessing the performance of real-time epidemic forecasts: A case study of Ebola in the Western Area region of Sierra Leone, 2014-15

Real-time forecasts based on mathematical models can inform critical decision-making during infectious disease outbreaks. Yet, epidemic forecasts are rarely evaluated during or after the event, and there is little guidance on the best metrics for assessment. Here, we propose an evaluation approach t...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Funk, Sebastian, Camacho, Anton, Kucharski, Adam J., Lowe, Rachel, Eggo, Rosalind M., Edmunds, W. John
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2019
Materias:
Research Article
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6386417/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30742608
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006785

Internet

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6386417/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30742608
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006785

Ejemplares similares