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Probabilistic reasoning about measurements of equilibrium climate sensitivity: combining disparate lines of evidence

Where policy and science intersect, there are always issues of ambiguous and conflicting lines of evidence. Combining disparate information sources is mathematically complex; common heuristics based on simple statistical models easily lead us astray. Here, we use Bayesian Nets (BNs) to illustrate th...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Cooke, Roger M, Wielicki, Bruce
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Netherlands 2018
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6394422/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30880851
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2315-y