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Are Bitcoin bubbles predictable? Combining a generalized Metcalfe’s Law and the Log-Periodic Power Law Singularity model

We develop a strong diagnostic for bubbles and crashes in Bitcoin, by analysing the coincidence (and its absence) of fundamental and technical indicators. Using a generalized Metcalfe’s Law based on network properties, a fundamental value is quantified and shown to be heavily exceeded, on at least f...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Wheatley, Spencer, Sornette, Didier, Huber, Tobias, Reppen, Max, Gantner, Robert N.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Royal Society 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6599809/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31312465
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.180538