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Why is it difficult to accurately predict the COVID-19 epidemic?

Since the COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan City in December of 2019, numerous model predictions on the COVID-19 epidemics in Wuhan and other parts of China have been reported. These model predictions have shown a wide range of variations. In our study, we demonstrate that nonidentifiability in model calib...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Roda, Weston C., Varughese, Marie B., Han, Donglin, Li, Michael Y.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: KeAi Publishing 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7104073/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32289100
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2020.03.001