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Using meta-predictions to identify experts in the crowd when past performance is unknown
A common approach to improving probabilistic forecasts is to identify and leverage the forecasts from experts in the crowd based on forecasters’ performance on prior questions with known outcomes. However, such information is often unavailable to decision-makers on many forecasting problems, and thu...
| Autores principales: | , , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
| Publicado: |
Public Library of Science
2020
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7182234/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32330175 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0232058 |