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On the uncertainty of real-time predictions of epidemic growths: A COVID-19 case study for China and Italy

While COVID-19 is rapidly propagating around the globe, the need for providing real-time forecasts of the epidemics pushes fits of dynamical and statistical models to available data beyond their capabilities. Here we focus on statistical predictions of COVID-19 infections performed by fitting asympt...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Alberti, Tommaso, Faranda, Davide
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier B.V. 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7263229/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32834701
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cnsns.2020.105372