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Superforecasting reality check: Evidence from a small pool of experts and expedited identification
Superforecasting has drawn the attention of academics - despite earlier contradictory findings in the literature, arguing that humans can consistently and successfully forecast over long periods. It has also enthused practitioners, due to the major implications for improving forecast-driven decision...
Autores principales: | , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Elsevier B.V.
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7333631/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32836715 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2020.06.042 |