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Superforecasting reality check: Evidence from a small pool of experts and expedited identification

Superforecasting has drawn the attention of academics - despite earlier contradictory findings in the literature, arguing that humans can consistently and successfully forecast over long periods. It has also enthused practitioners, due to the major implications for improving forecast-driven decision...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Katsagounos, Ilias, Thomakos, Dimitrios D., Litsiou, Konstantia, Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier B.V. 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7333631/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32836715
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2020.06.042