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Scenario-driven forecasting: modeling peaks and paths. Insights from the COVID-19 pandemic in Belgium

The recent ‘outburst’ of COVID-19 spurred efforts to model and forecast its diffusion patterns, either in terms of infections, people in need of medical assistance (ICU occupation) or casualties. Forecasting patterns and their implied end states remains cumbersome when few (stochastic) data points a...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Decock, Kristof, Debackere, Koenraad, Vandamme, Anne- Mieke, Van Looy, Bart
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer International Publishing 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7355133/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32836528
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11192-020-03591-6