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Using information theory to optimise epidemic models for real-time prediction and estimation
The effective reproduction number, R(t), is a key time-varying prognostic for the growth rate of any infectious disease epidemic. Significant changes in R(t) can forewarn about new transmissions within a population or predict the efficacy of interventions. Inferring R(t) reliably and in real-time fr...
Autores principales: | , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Public Library of Science
2020
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7360089/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32609732 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007990 |