Cargando…

Using information theory to optimise epidemic models for real-time prediction and estimation

The effective reproduction number, R(t), is a key time-varying prognostic for the growth rate of any infectious disease epidemic. Significant changes in R(t) can forewarn about new transmissions within a population or predict the efficacy of interventions. Inferring R(t) reliably and in real-time fr...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Parag, Kris V., Donnelly, Christl A.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7360089/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32609732
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007990