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A novel deterministic forecast model for the Covid-19 epidemic based on a single ordinary integro-differential equation

In this paper, we present a new approach to deterministic modelling of COVID-19 epidemic. Our model dynamics is expressed by a single prognostic variable which satisfies an integro-differential equation. All unknown parameters are described with a single, time-dependent variable R(t). We show that o...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Köhler-Rieper, Felix, Röhl, Claudius H. F., De Micheli, Enrico
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7381419/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32834915
http://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjp/s13360-020-00608-0