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The 2010 structural-demographic forecast for the 2010–2020 decade: A retrospective assessment

This article revisits the prediction, made in 2010, that the 2010–2020 decade would likely be a period of growing instability in the United States and Western Europe Turchin P. 2018. This prediction was based on a computational model that quantified in the USA such structural-demographic forces for...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Turchin, Peter, Korotayev, Andrey
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7430736/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32804982
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0237458