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A Bayesian approach for monitoring epidemics in presence of undetected cases

One of the key indicators used in tracking the evolution of an infectious disease is the reproduction number. This quantity is usually computed using the reported number of cases, but ignoring that many more individuals may be infected (e.g. asymptomatic carriers). We develop a Bayesian procedure to...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: De Simone, Andrea, Piangerelli, Marco
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Ltd. 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7448881/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32868967
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110167