Long-term forecasts of the COVID-19 epidemic: a dangerous idea

INTRODUCTION: Mathematical models have been used to obtain long-term forecasts of the COVID-19 epidemic. METHODS: The daily COVID-19 case count in two Brazilian states was used to show the potential limitations of long-term forecasting through the application of a mathematical model to the data. RES...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Martinez, Edson Zangiacomi, Aragon, Davi Casale, Nunes, Altacílio Aparecido
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical - SBMT 2020
Materias:
Short Communication
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7451501/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32876321
http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0037-8682-0481-2020

Internet

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7451501/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32876321
http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0037-8682-0481-2020

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