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Solvable delay model for epidemic spreading: the case of Covid-19 in Italy

We study a simple realistic model for describing the diffusion of an infectious disease on a population of individuals. The dynamics is governed by a single functional delay differential equation, which, in the case of a large population, can be solved exactly, even in the presence of a time-depende...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Dell’Anna, Luca
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7519166/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32978440
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-72529-y