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Exponential-growth prediction bias and compliance with safety measures related to COVID-19

OBJECTIVE: We define prediction bias as the systematic error arising from an incorrect prediction of the number of positive COVID cases x-weeks hence when presented with y-weeks of prior, actual data on the same. Our objective is to investigate the importance of an exponential-growth prediction bias...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Banerjee, Ritwik, Bhattacharya, Joydeep, Majumdar, Priyama
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Ltd. 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7591871/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33130402
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2020.113473