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Exponential-growth prediction bias and compliance with safety measures related to COVID-19
OBJECTIVE: We define prediction bias as the systematic error arising from an incorrect prediction of the number of positive COVID cases x-weeks hence when presented with y-weeks of prior, actual data on the same. Our objective is to investigate the importance of an exponential-growth prediction bias...
Autores principales: | , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Elsevier Ltd.
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7591871/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33130402 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2020.113473 |