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The Psychology Underlying Biased Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States

This paper discusses the impact of a series of psychological phenomena on the U.S. response to COVID-19, focusing on forecasts of cases and deaths. The specific phenomena comprise unrealistic optimism bias, overconfidence, anchoring and adjustment, representativeness, motivated reasoning, and groupt...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Shefrin, Hersh
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Frontiers Media S.A. 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7674798/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33250828
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.590594