The Psychology Underlying Biased Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States

This paper discusses the impact of a series of psychological phenomena on the U.S. response to COVID-19, focusing on forecasts of cases and deaths. The specific phenomena comprise unrealistic optimism bias, overconfidence, anchoring and adjustment, representativeness, motivated reasoning, and groupt...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Shefrin, Hersh
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Frontiers Media S.A. 2020
Materias:
Psychology
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7674798/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33250828
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.590594
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author Shefrin, Hersh
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description This paper discusses the impact of a series of psychological phenomena on the U.S. response to COVID-19, focusing on forecasts of cases and deaths. The specific phenomena comprise unrealistic optimism bias, overconfidence, anchoring and adjustment, representativeness, motivated reasoning, and groupthink.
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spelling pubmed-76747982020-11-26 The Psychology Underlying Biased Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States Shefrin, Hersh Front Psychol Psychology This paper discusses the impact of a series of psychological phenomena on the U.S. response to COVID-19, focusing on forecasts of cases and deaths. The specific phenomena comprise unrealistic optimism bias, overconfidence, anchoring and adjustment, representativeness, motivated reasoning, and groupthink. Frontiers Media S.A. 2020-11-05 /pmc/articles/PMC7674798/ /pubmed/33250828 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.590594 Text en Copyright © 2020 Shefrin. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
spellingShingle Psychology
Shefrin, Hersh
The Psychology Underlying Biased Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States
title The Psychology Underlying Biased Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States
title_full The Psychology Underlying Biased Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States
title_fullStr The Psychology Underlying Biased Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States
title_full_unstemmed The Psychology Underlying Biased Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States
title_short The Psychology Underlying Biased Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States
title_sort psychology underlying biased forecasts of covid-19 cases and deaths in the united states
topic Psychology
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7674798/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33250828
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.590594
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