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Forecasting the spread of COVID-19 under different reopening strategies

We combine COVID-19 case data with mobility data to estimate a modified susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model in the United States. In contrast to a standard SIR model, we find that the incidence of COVID-19 spread is concave in the number of infectious individuals, as would be expected if peop...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Liu, Meng, Thomadsen, Raphael, Yao, Song
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7683602/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33230234
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-77292-8