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Will an outbreak exceed available resources for control? Estimating the risk from invading pathogens using practical definitions of a severe epidemic
Forecasting whether or not initial reports of disease will be followed by a severe epidemic is an important component of disease management. Standard epidemic risk estimates involve assuming that infections occur according to a branching process and correspond to the probability that the outbreak pe...
| Autores principales: | , , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
| Publicado: |
The Royal Society
2020
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| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7729054/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33171074 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2020.0690 |