A mathematical model of tumor regression and recurrence after therapeutic oncogene inactivation

The targeted inactivation of individual oncogenes can elicit regression of cancers through a phenomenon called oncogene addiction. Oncogene addiction is mediated by cell-autonomous and immune-dependent mechanisms. Therapeutic resistance to oncogene inactivation leads to recurrence but can be counteracted by immune surveillance. Predicting the timing of resistance will provide valuable insights in developing effective cancer treatments. To provide a quantitative understanding of cancer response to oncogene inactivation, we developed a new 3-compartment mathematical model of oncogene-driven tumor growth, regression and recurrence, and validated the model using a MYC-driven transgenic mouse model of T-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia. Our mathematical model uses imaging-based measurements of tumor burden to predict the relative number of drug-sensitive and drug-resistant cancer cells in MYC-dependent states. We show natural killer (NK) cell adoptive therapy can delay cancer recurrence by reducing the net-growth rate of drug-resistant cells. Our studies provide a novel way to evaluate combination therapy for personalized cancer treatment.