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How well did experts and laypeople forecast the size of the COVID-19 pandemic?

Throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, social and traditional media have disseminated predictions from experts and nonexperts about its expected magnitude. How accurate were the predictions of ‘experts’—individuals holding occupations or roles in subject-relevant fields, such as epidemiologists and stati...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Recchia, Gabriel, Freeman, Alexandra L. J., Spiegelhalter, David
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8099086/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33951092
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0250935