Standard assessments of climate forecast skill can be misleading

Assessments of climate forecast skill depend on choices made by the assessor. In this perspective, we use forecasts of the El Niño-Southern-Oscillation to outline the impact of bias-correction on skill. Many assessments of skill from hindcasts (past forecasts) are probably overestimates of attainabl...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Risbey, James S., Squire, Dougal T., Black, Amanda S., DelSole, Timothy, Lepore, Chiara, Matear, Richard J., Monselesan, Didier P., Moore, Thomas S., Richardson, Doug, Schepen, Andrew, Tippett, Michael K., Tozer, Carly R.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2021
Materias:
Perspective
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8285537/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34272363
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-23771-z

Internet

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8285537/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34272363
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-23771-z

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