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Improved estimation of time-varying reproduction numbers at low case incidence and between epidemic waves
We construct a recursive Bayesian smoother, termed EpiFilter, for estimating the effective reproduction number, R, from the incidence of an infectious disease in real time and retrospectively. Our approach borrows from Kalman filtering theory, is quick and easy to compute, generalisable, determinist...
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
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Public Library of Science
2021
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| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8448340/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34492011 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009347 |