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Improved estimation of time-varying reproduction numbers at low case incidence and between epidemic waves

We construct a recursive Bayesian smoother, termed EpiFilter, for estimating the effective reproduction number, R, from the incidence of an infectious disease in real time and retrospectively. Our approach borrows from Kalman filtering theory, is quick and easy to compute, generalisable, determinist...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal:	Parag, Kris V.
Formato:	Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:	English
Publicado:	Public Library of Science 2021
Materias:	Research Article
Acceso en línea:	https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8448340/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34492011 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009347

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