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Verification of the accuracy of the SIR model in forecasting based on the improved SIR model with a constant ratio of recovery to infection rate by comparing with monitored second wave data
The temporal evolution of second and subsequent waves of epidemics such as Covid-19 is investigated. Analytic expressions for the peak time and asymptotic behaviours, early doubling time, late half decay time, and a half-early peak law, characterizing the dynamical evolution of number of cases and f...
| Autores principales: | , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
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The Royal Society
2021
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| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8456141/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34567593 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.211379 |