Alpha-1 Antitrypsin and Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Liver Cirrhosis: SERPINA1 MZ or MS Genotype Carriage Decreases the Risk

Heterozygotes for Z or S alleles of alpha-1-antrypsin (AAT) have low serum AAT levels. Our aim was to compare the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with liver cirrhosis carrying the SERPINA1 MM, MZ and MS genotypes. The study groups consisted of 1119 patients with liver cirrhosis of various aetiologies, and 3240 healthy individuals served as population controls. The MZ genotype was significantly more frequent in the study group (55/1119 vs. 87/3240, p < 0.0001). The MS genotype frequency was comparable in controls (32/119 vs. 101/3240, p = 0.84). MZ and MS heterozygotes had lower serum AAT level than MM homozygotes (medians: 0.90 g/L; 1.40 g/L and 1.67 g/L; p < 0.001 for both). There were significantly fewer patients with HCC in the cirrhosis group among MZ and MS heterozygotes than in MM homozygotes (5/55 and 1/32 respectively, vs. 243/1022, p < 0.01 for both). The risk of HCC was lower in MZ and MS heterozygotes than in MM homozygotes (OR 0.3202; 95% CI 0.1361–0.7719 and OR 0.1522; 95% CI 0.02941–0.7882, respectively). Multivariate analysis of HCC risk factors identified MZ or MS genotype carriage as a protective factor, whereas age, male sex, BMI and viral aetiology of cirrhosis increased HCC risk.