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GDP Forecasting: Machine Learning, Linear or Autoregression?

This paper compares the predictive power of different models to forecast the real U.S. GDP. Using quarterly data from 1976 to 2020, we find that the machine learning K-Nearest Neighbour (KNN) model captures the self-predictive ability of the U.S. GDP and performs better than traditional time series...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Maccarrone, Giovanni, Morelli, Giacomo, Spadaccini, Sara
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Frontiers Media S.A. 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8554645/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34723174
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/frai.2021.757864