Validation of a Population Pharmacokinetic Model of Vortioxetine Using Therapeutic Drug Monitoring Data

INTRODUCTION: Vortioxetine is an antidepressant primarily metabolized by the polymorphic enzyme cytochrome P450 (CYP) 2D6. A population pharmacokinetic (popPK) model of vortioxetine and its CYP2D6-dependent metabolite was recently published. OBJECTIVE: The aim of the current study was to assess the predictive performance of the popPK model using vortioxetine concentration measurements from a clinical setting. Furthermore, the study aimed to evaluate the ability of different CYP2D6 phenotype classification systems to provide accurate concentration predictions. METHODS: Overall, 1388 patients receiving vortioxetine treatment were identified from a therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) database in Oslo, Norway; 334 CYP2D6-genotyped patients with 502 serum concentrations of vortioxetine, analysed by a validated ultra-high-performance liquid chromatography–high-resolution mass spectrometry (UHPLC-HRMS) method, were retrospectively included. The performance of the vortioxetine popPK model was tested on the clinical data from the TDM database. RESULTS: Overall, the model had a good ability to predict vortioxetine concentrations measured in clinical practice, with a slight tendency to overpredict concentrations. Using simulation-based diagnostics, 76% of the prediction-corrected TDM concentrations were within the 90% prediction interval based on 1000 simulated data sets. Prediction-based diagnostics showed the best performance for CYP2D6 poor and ultrarapid metabolizers, with a median prediction error (MDPE) of 12% and 23%, respectively, while the poorest performance was observed for normal metabolizers, with an MDPE of 66%. In the comparison of different CYP2D6 phenotype classification systems, the use of differentiated activity scores for decreased function alleles did not improve the concentration predictions. Grouping the CYP2D6 genotypes into the four conventional phenotype groups provided predictions closest to the TDM measured concentrations. CONCLUSION: TDM data provide a unique insight into real-world clinical practice with vortioxetine. The tendency of the popPK model to overpredict vortioxetine concentrations measured in TDM may be attributed to several factors, including poor treatment compliance for some patients and, to a lesser extent, lack of information on patient characteristics and misspecified CYP2D6 alleles. To optimize personalized therapy with vortioxetine, real-world clinical data sets originating from different ethnicities need to be studied in the future. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40262-021-01029-7.