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The stochastic dynamics of early epidemics: probability of establishment, initial growth rate, and infection cluster size at first detection

Emerging epidemics and local infection clusters are initially prone to stochastic effects that can substantially impact the early epidemic trajectory. While numerous studies are devoted to the deterministic regime of an established epidemic, mathematical descriptions of the initial phase of epidemic...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Czuppon, Peter, Schertzer, Emmanuel, Blanquart, François, Débarre, Florence
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Royal Society 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8596012/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34784776
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2021.0575