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The stochastic dynamics of early epidemics: probability of establishment, initial growth rate, and infection cluster size at first detection
Emerging epidemics and local infection clusters are initially prone to stochastic effects that can substantially impact the early epidemic trajectory. While numerous studies are devoted to the deterministic regime of an established epidemic, mathematical descriptions of the initial phase of epidemic...
Autores principales: | Czuppon, Peter, Schertzer, Emmanuel, Blanquart, François, Débarre, Florence |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
The Royal Society
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8596012/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34784776 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2021.0575 |
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