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Using prediction polling to harness collective intelligence for disease forecasting

BACKGROUND: The global spread of COVID-19 has shown that reliable forecasting of public health related outcomes is important but lacking. METHODS: We report the results of the first large-scale, long-term experiment in crowd-forecasting of infectious-disease outbreaks, where a total of 562 volunteer...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Sell, Tara Kirk, Warmbrod, Kelsey Lane, Watson, Crystal, Trotochaud, Marc, Martin, Elena, Ravi, Sanjana J., Balick, Maurice, Servan-Schreiber, Emile
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: BioMed Central 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8605461/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34801014
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12889-021-12083-y