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Using prediction polling to harness collective intelligence for disease forecasting
BACKGROUND: The global spread of COVID-19 has shown that reliable forecasting of public health related outcomes is important but lacking. METHODS: We report the results of the first large-scale, long-term experiment in crowd-forecasting of infectious-disease outbreaks, where a total of 562 volunteer...
Autores principales: | Sell, Tara Kirk, Warmbrod, Kelsey Lane, Watson, Crystal, Trotochaud, Marc, Martin, Elena, Ravi, Sanjana J., Balick, Maurice, Servan-Schreiber, Emile |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
BioMed Central
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8605461/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34801014 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12889-021-12083-y |
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