Allele-Specific Thresholds of Eluted Ligands for T-Cell Epitope Prediction

A common strategy for predicting candidate human leukocyte antigen class I T-cell epitopes is to use an affinity-based threshold of 500 nM. Although a 500 nM threshold across alleles effectively identifies most epitopes across alleles, findings showing that major histocompatibility complex repertoire sizes vary by allele indicate that using thresholds specific to individual alleles may improve epitope identification. In this work, we compare different strategies utilizing common and allele-specific thresholds to identify an optimal approach for T-cell epitope prediction. First, we confirmed previous observations that different human leukocyte antigen class I alleles correspond with varying repertoire sizes. Here, we define general and allele-specific thresholds that capture 80% of eluted ligands and a different set of thresholds associated with capturing 9-mer T-cell epitopes at 80% sensitivity. Our analysis revealed that allele-specific threshold performance was roughly equivalent to that of a common threshold when considering a relatively large number of alleles. However, when predicting epitopes for only a few alleles, the use of allele-specific thresholds would be preferable. Finally, we present here for public use a set of allele-specific thresholds that may be used to identify T-cell epitopes at 80% sensitivity.