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Epidemiological analysis of varicella in Dalian from 2009 to 2019 and application of three kinds of model in prediction prevalence of varicella

OBJECTIVE: This study described the epidemic characteristics of varicella in Dalian from 2009 to 2019, explored the fitting effect of Grey model first-order one variable( GM(1,1)), Markov model, and GM(1,1)-Markov model on varicella data, and found the best fitting method for this type of data, to b...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Cheng, Tingting, Bai, Yu, Sun, Xianzhi, Ji, Yuchen, Zhang, Fan, Li, Xiaofeng
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: BioMed Central 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8991558/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35392857
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12889-022-12898-3