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A new estimation method for COVID-19 time-varying reproduction number using active cases

We propose a new method to estimate the time-varying effective (or instantaneous) reproduction number of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19). The method is based on a discrete-time stochastic augmented compartmental model that describes the virus transmission. A two-stage estimation method, whi...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Hasan, Agus, Susanto, Hadi, Tjahjono, Venansius, Kusdiantara, Rudy, Putri, Endah, Nuraini, Nuning, Hadisoemarto, Panji
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9035172/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35461352
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-10723-w